These are the results from the final CNN/WMUR poll in New Hampshire and it looks like it’s Trump’s state to lose. Both Rubio and Cruz are neck and neck, but still quite some distance from Trump:
Final CNN/WMUR tracking poll – GOP:
— David Chalian (@DavidChalian) February 8, 2016
CNN – The final CNN/WMUR tracking poll finds Donald Trump continues to lead the Republican race in New Hampshire on the eve of the vote.
The field of candidates vying for a second place finish behind him is finally beginning to separate, according to the survey.
Trump holds 31%, down two points from the February 3-6 release, but within the poll’s margin of sampling error.
Behind him, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio earned 17% support — within the margin of sampling error of Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 14%, but significantly ahead of the fourth and fifth place candidates in the poll, Ohio Gov. John Kasich at 10% and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 7%.
Behind Bush, Carly Fiorina stands at 5%, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at 4% and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson at 3%.
Aside from Trump, none of the Republican candidates moved more than 1 point in either direction compared with the previous CNN/WMUR tracking poll.
About three-quarters of the interviews conducted for this poll were completed before the Republican candidates debated Saturday night, their final such match-up before Tuesday’s election.
The CNN/WMUR poll was conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center by telephone from February 4-8. The poll includes interviews with a random sample of 887 adult residents of New Hampshire, including 362 who plan to vote in the Republican presidential primary. For results among the sample of likely Republican primary voters, the margin of sampling error is plus or minus 5.2 percentage points.
After Iowa we saw that polls were just not correct, so who knows what will happen tomorrow night. I imagine Trump will win but no idea who comes out ahead in 2nd place. I hope it’s Cruz, but it’s just too tight to even make a prediction.