New Hampshire Poll has Trump on top but Cruz surging to 2nd place!

A new CNN/WMUR poll for the Republican Primary in New Hampshire has Trump on top with Cruz surging to 2nd place:

WMUR – There is no change at the top of the Republican presidential field, but with less than three weeks remaining in the 2016 New Hampshire first-in-the-nation primary campaign, there is both a new runner-up and a tie for third place.

New York businessman Donald Trump, for the first time, has a 20 percentage point lead in the Granite State, according to the latest WMUR/CNN New Hampshire Primary Poll. But U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas has supplanted U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida in second place, while former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has moved up to tie Rubio for third.

Here’s the complete polling history of this poll (click to enlarge):

newhampshire_cnnwmur_pollhistory

Here’s the lowdown on the poll:

These findings are based on the latest CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Nine hundred and seventy-four (974) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between January 13 and January 18, 2015. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3.1 percent. Included were four hundred and fourteen (414) likely 2016 Republican Primary voters (MSE = +/-4.8) and four hundred and twenty-one (421) likely 2016 Democratic Primary voters (MSE = +/-4.8).

Here’s a link to the actual polling PDF.


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