A new poll shows that we just can’t trust polls anymore.
Newest ARG SC poll: Likely Republican Primary Voters
Feb 16-17
Bush 8
Carson 3
Cruz 13
Kasich 15
Rubio 20
Trump 33
Other 1
Undecided 7— Greymarch (@Greymarch) February 18, 2016
If they’re correct then Marco Rubio definitely got a boost from the debates. Here’s how they break down compared to their own last poll:
SC GOP (ARG Tracker 2/16-2/17):
Trump 33% (0)
Rubio 20% (+4)
Kasich 15% (+1)
Cruz 13% (-1)
Jeb 8% (-1)
Carson 3% (0)Haley bump?
— Marcus Hawkins (@HawkinsUSA) February 18, 2016
Here’s the Hill on the fill results:
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump continues to lead the field in South Carolina days before its Saturday primary, with a bottleneck for second place, according to a new poll.
Trump got 33 percent support in an American Research Group (ARG) poll conducted this week and released Tuesday.
Marco Rubio follows at 16 percent, then Ted Cruz and John Kasich at 14 percent apiece and Jeb Bush at 9 percent.
Ben Carson sits at 3 percent. Another 8 percent of likely GOP voters remain undecided.
The survey of 400 likely GOP primary voters was conducted Feb. 14-16 via telephones with a margin of error of 5 percentage points.
Trump has led a series of polls in the state released this week, though others have found different results in the tightly-packed race for second place.
A survey from the South Carolina House GOP had Cruz at 16 percent, with Rubio and Bush at 15 percent apiece, Kasich at 8 percent and Carson at 7 percent.
The polls are pretty much all over the place. And we’ve already seen a race in Iowa where they were completely wrong, and one in New Hampshire where they were pretty dead on. So which will South Carolina be?