According to this new poll by American Research Group, Romney leads in Florida 49-46 and in New Hampshire 50-46:
THE HILL – The survey from the American Research Group shows Romney with a 49 percent to 46 percent poll in Florida and a 50 percent to 46 percent lead in New Hampshire, two states that represent a total of 33 electoral votes. Another survey of Florida by the conservative-leaning Rasmussen Reports gives Romney a 51-47 percent advantage.
Romney’s post-debate gains are most noticeable among women and independents. In Florida, Romney leads 49-45 percent among independents, and now only trails the president by 3 points with women. By contrast, Romney holds an 11-point lead among men.
It also appears that President Obama’s attacks on Romney’s Medicare proposal have not yet resonated among Florida seniors; among voters over 50, the Republican holds a 54-42 percent lead.
In New Hampshire, Romney holds a similar 48-45 percent lead among independent voters, and only trails the president by a single percentage point with women. Again, Romney posted a double-digit advantage over Obama with men and those over 50 years old.
The surveys were conducted through Thursday night, and do not account for any movement that may have occurred after Thursday night’s vice presidential showdown between Joe Biden and Paul Ryan.
The momentum has clearly shifted toward Romney since the first presidential debate and even Drudge has this headline: CAMPAIGN FREAKOUT! OBAMA LOCK UNDER 10 STATES. I predict as long as Romney continues to show himself as he did in the first debate and doesn’t have any major screw-ups, he may very well win this race.