We have another poll showing the state of Iowa is up for grabs, that Trump doesn’t have a double digit lead like the Fox News and CNN polls have recently suggested:

QUINNIPIAC – The Iowa Republican Caucus is a two-man race going down to the wire with Donald Trump at 31 percent and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas at 29 percent among likely Republican Caucus participants, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida is at 13 percent, with no other candidate above 7 percent.

This is virtually unchanged from results of a January 11 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University showing Trump at 31 percent, with 29 percent for Cruz and 15 percent for Rubio.

Today, 2 percent are undecided and 39 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind.

Here’s the full lineup. Note that Trump and Cruz are within the +/- 3.8 margin of error:



LIKELY REP CAUCUS-GOERS............................................ Wht POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY Tea BrnAgn CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Party Evang Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Trump 31 34 27 29 29 37 36 25 28 34 Cruz 29 50 39 49 21 6 32 25 24 32 Rubio 13 4 12 5 19 19 12 15 20 10 Carson 7 6 7 6 10 4 4 11 8 6 Paul 5 3 3 4 3 10 6 4 5 5 Bush 4 1 3 1 6 7 2 7 5 3 Christie 3 - - 1 3 6 2 4 3 2 Huckabee 2 1 4 2 2 3 2 3 1 3 Fiorina 1 1 1 - 2 2 1 1 1 1 Kasich 1 - - - 2 3 2 - 3 1 Santorum - - 1 1 - - - 1 - 1 Gilmore - - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 2 1 2 1 3 2 2 3 1 3

 
Here’s the polling info:

From January 18 – 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 651 Iowa likely Republican Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

A poll from yesterday showed that Cruz leads the race in Iowa by almost 7 points among likely caucus goers. You can check that one out here.


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