El Trumpo might be trying to tamp down expectations in New Hampshire even though he’s way on top in polling, and it might have to do with the Suffolk/Boston Globe poll that shows Marco Rubio cutting his lead in half since January.
— Meet the Press (@MeetThePress) February 5, 2016
Yes, the thirsty Cuban rocketed up the charts, leaving Kasich and Bush to battle it out for third place and seeing support for Cruz drop.
Here are the results from last month:
Trump had 27 percent, while Cruz and Kasich had 12 percent, Bush had 11 percent, and Rubio had 10 percent in the survey. Another 12 percent of likely Republican primary voters said they were undecided in the Feb. 9 contest.
People have long noted that New Hampshire likes to assert its autonomy by voting against the results of Iowa, so that might help explain Cruz’s drop.
Front-runner Donald Trump holds a nearly 10 percentage point lead over his rivals in New Hampshire’s Republican primary race, but Senator Marco Rubio is closing the gap in the final days, according to a new poll released Friday.
Twenty-nine percent of voters surveyed said they backed Trump, and Rubio of Florida took second place with 19 percent. That’s the highest level of support Rubio has shown in any public survey since Trump entered the race in the summer.
The Suffolk University/Boston Globe survey also showed former secretary of state Hillary Clinton in striking distance of Senator Bernie Sanders, who has a 9 percentage point lead in the Democratic primary.
In the Republican race, Ohio Governor John Kasich placed third in the poll with 13 percent, former Florida governor Jeb Bush had 10 percent , US Senator Ted Cruz had 7 percent, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie fell to 5 percent, and Ben Carson had 4 percent.
Cruz won Monday’s Iowa caucuses, while Trump had a disappointing second-place finish, and Rubio finished closely in third.
“What a difference a caucus makes,” said David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Suffolk University. “By exceeding expectations in Iowa, Marco Rubio is converting likability to electability, even more so than Ted Cruz, who, like many conservative Iowa winners of the past like Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, can’t seem to convert an Iowa win into a major showing in New Hampshire.”
So will Rubio catch up to the Trump? At this point, as badly as the polls predicted the Iowa caucus, I wouldn’t be surprised. One poll indicated that as many as 20% of people had said they were going to caucus, and didn’t show up…