New CNN/ORC has Trump up BIG in Iowa – [UPDATED]


This makes the third Iowa poll today that has been released, and it’s quite a bit different than the other two in that it shows Trump with a double digit lead:

(click to enlarge)

Cruz is still polling close to where he was in the other polls, but The Donald has significantly more votes in this poll than the others. Perhaps this is an outlier.

Note the poll states this question alone has a margin of error of +/- 6%, which seems pretty high.

There is, however, a pretty significant voter base that is undecided. I guess we’ll find out who they’ll pick in 9 more days.

You can read the actual poll here.

UPDATE: CNN included this point in their writeup that is very important:

The sampling is key for both leaders: Only including voters who previously caucused in their party’s most recent competitive caucus, Cruz is neck-and-neck with Trump, with 30% for Cruz to 28% for Trump. Rubio is steady at 16% in that sample.

Well that changes things quite a big and makes the poll fall more inline with others.

Thanks to SooperMexican for bringing this to my attention.

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