According to a new ARG poll out of New Hampshire that occurred after the Iowa Caucuses, Trump’s lead isn’t in any danger. However 2nd place is a different story, with Rubio, Kasich and Cruz all within one point of each other:


So it looks like next Tuesday is going to be all about the race for second place if this poll isn’t too far off. Most polls these days show Trump leading by very significant margins, but I wanted to wait until one came out that occurred after Iowa, to see if it had any impact. Doesn’t look like too much based on this poll.

Here’s the lowdown:

Sample Size: 418 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New Hampshire (264 Republicans and 154 undeclared voters (independents)).

Sample Dates: February 2-3, 2016

Margin of Error: ± 5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

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