A new poll by Houston Public Media shows Ted Cruz leading Trump in Texas by 15 points, Cruz with 35% and Trump with 20%. Rubio and Carson are fighting for 3rd with less than 10%. The margin of error is 4.8%:
Here’s the lowdown on the survey which was conducted over a 10 day period:
The survey of likely Republican Texas Presidential primary voters was conducted (February 12 – 22, 2016) with two samples of eligible voters by the University of Houston Hobby Center for Public Policy’s Survey Research Center. The first sample (N=315) included registered voters who voted in one of three elections including the 2008, 2012 Republican Primary election and the 2015 General election. The second sample (N=100) included all other registered voters (i.e. those who did not vote in two or more of the selected elections). Results are reported for the combined samples. The margin of error for combined sample (N=415) is 4.8%.
Here’s more info on the voters in the poll:
You can read more about the poll here!
As an aside, we should point out that Emerson came out with a new Texas poll today that shows a much different result: Cruz 29, Trump 28, Rubio 25, Kasich 9, Carson 4.
The Emerson poll was conducted from February 21-23, 2016 and consisted of 446 likely GOP primary voters, with a margin of error of +/-4.6%.
The Texas Tribune came out with a poll yesterday that puts Cruz a +8 points over Trump. You can read more about that one here if you missed it.