By The Right Scoop


While Romney isn’t winning the head to head battle in a new battleground state poll as it’s a statistical tie with Obama at 49 and Romney at 48, Politico reports that when you look beneath the hood Romney is ahead in both enthusiasm and independents:

Only 73 percent who support Obama say they are “extremely likely” to vote, compared to 86 percent who back Romney. Likewise, 84 percent of Republicans say they are extremely likely to vote, compared to 76 percent of Democrats.

Among those extremely likely to vote, Romney actually leads Obama 52 percent to 46 percent. That’s up from a 2-point lead last week. Obama led 50 percent to 47 percent among this group three weeks ago.

Romney now leads among independents by 16 points, 51 percent to 35 percent. This is up from 4 points last week.

Also it’s worth noting that this poll was taken mostly before the debate:

This poll was in the field last Monday through Thursday, but about 85 percent of the calls were made before the debate on Wednesday night. The final night of tracking was good for Romney, but it’s not a big enough sample to report. So this does not reflect any momentum Romney might get from his performance in Denver.

Erick Erickson is out with an article today saying that if the election were held today, he believes Romney would win:

There will still be ups and downs between now and Election Day. Mitt Romney could still blow it. The President could be resurgent in future debates. After all, past Presidents have mostly always lost the first debate. Americans could decide they believe part-time burger flipping now considered a full time job is a sign the economy is turning around.

But were the election held today, we’d be looking at President-Elect Romney. We should at least enjoy it today.

Click over to read his full opinion.

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  • DCGere

    Liberals’ heads are going to explode!

    • wodiej

      call out the Hazmat team.

      • http://twitter.com/PuritanD71 PuritanD71

        There is something there to call out the Hazmat team??? LOL

        • Galatiansch2vs20

          Oh yes, the toxic emissions!

        • http://hehasfailed.wordpress.com/ HopeHeFails

          Wasserman Schultz haircare products.

  • NYGino

    B L O W O U T !!!!

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Rich-Wojcik/1252071956 Rich Wojcik

    Romney wins: 40/10 w/o DNC cheating
    30/20 with.

    Chapeau bas, Prez. Romney, Vice Prez. Ryan!!!
    God bless you!!!

  • deeme

    Independents actually care about having a President who can think for himself, under pressure, and who actually would like to see jobs, not just people getting handouts , or as Nancy Pelosi said unemployment creates jobs…

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Rich-Wojcik/1252071956 Rich Wojcik

    where is that lying bag Axelrod?
    Davie, take that Axle and Rod and stuck them into the same place on you where you kiss FuBar Ack every day.
    It may help you think clearly.

  • http://twitter.com/uncmetsgal Carmen P

    So, here, I said:
    http://www.therightscoop.com/boom-ive-figured-out-how-to-make-romney-get-ruthless-and-really-go-after-obama/

    “I think, well, I actually HOPE, we’re all underestimating Romney. I think he’s going to knock Obama senseless in the upcoming debate.”

    A few people apparently thought I was losing my mind. But, not so!

    I only point this out because, while I understand people (like Erickson, who has grown increasingly annoying over the past month — I wonder if CNN has had an unintended impact on his analysis) want to offer constructive criticism for Romney, I don’t like that so many feel the need to be Debbie Downers.

    Romney’s our guy.

    Even if he isn’t your first choice (and he wasn’t mine) he is LIGHT YEARS better than The Big Zero.

    Just get BEHIND him, and believe in him. What point is there is stuff like this? :

    “There will still be ups and downs between now and Election Day. Mitt Romney could still blow it. The President could be resurgent in future debates. After all, past Presidents have mostly always lost the first debate. Americans could decide they believe part-time burger flipping now considered a full time job is a sign the economy is turning around.”

    Of COURSE the race will have good days and bad. Do we need to be reminded of this on a daily basis? Of course Romney could blow it. Do we need to focus on that nightmare-ish hypothetical? Why not believe that Romney will BUILD on the @ss-whoppin’ he executed last week?? Why not point out his absolutely SPECTACULAR speech today, where he buried Obama under his own incompetence and imagined “successful” foreign “policy”? Why not rally the base, and try to spread some enthusiasm to folks who are still (and God only knows how THAT is even the case, but I digress…) on the fence?

    Sorry for the rant. I’m tired of reading and hearing so much negativity on “our” side.

    Let the libs be the perpetually-angry and frantic lying liars that they are.

    We should be focused on WINNING.

    • montereyyjack

      You are so right Carmen. When have you ever seen the Democrats offer up one of their own for sacrifice or even ridicule! They circle their pathetic wagons and DEFEND the indefensible: Rangle, Greyson, Weiner,Schultz, Schumer, Obama, Biden,etc…Only our side is so damn quick to disown, disavow, criticize, and endlessly critique ours. As if we must provide perfection yet the Dems produce perversion…and defend it!

      With the importance of gaining the Senate majority as critical for implementing much needed reforms, the Dems would be all over Akins with money, ads, and press coverage. So he’s an idiot… so what! He’s an idiot with an R after his name! Counter that with four more years of Reid????????? Four years of Obama strutting and claiming he has a mandate for socialism?????????

      Once we select our candidate for President (and Vice President!) we conservatives had better learn to STFU and promote-not persecute-our choices. Even Fox has gotten into this self flagellation mode with allowing too many strident liberals to rant on and countering with Casper Milquetoasts. Even they don’t get it (except Hannity) that we are in a war within our own country for the next generation. War. Not pattycakes. I have taken Redstate off my favorites list, and I can just as easily take off Fox News. But I won’t take off my country by allowing my side to self immolate through smugness and arrogance. “Forward” my ass.

  • sjmom

    The momentum is heading in the Right direction and will only increase to where I believe Romney/Ryan are going to win by a larger margin than anyone had thought about. Keep praying everyone.

  • ChicksLoveRight

    Now that is what I call “FORWARD!”

  • http://twitter.com/MarthaChandler9 Martha Chandler

    As Charles Krauthammer once said, they will need to be hosed off with a Valium Spray.

  • FutureOnePercent

    Election will be called for Romney by 8pm PST.

    Mark my words.

  • wodiej

    Romney has a 16% lead on Independents BEFORE the debate? I don’t want to get overconfident but it appears Mitt and Ann should be preparing for life in the White House.

    • Nukeman60

      Well, it seems Obama is preparing for life in Hawaii, since his palace must be ready by January. it might be the first time I agreed with Obama. Both of us think Romney will win big.

  • http://twitter.com/jaz2cox Jazcox

    Erick sometimes anger the hell of me! I know what’s he saying, however, I’m tired of if’s and the but’s. This is Romney to win – period!

  • http://hehasfailed.wordpress.com/ HopeHeFails

    Ah, the start of another great week.

  • kong1967

    There’s still a long way to go. Obama is going Chicago style from here on out. I’m torn over whether I feel it will help Romney or hurt him.

    Obama said he’s a uniter, so Romney needs to bring this up in the debates and say we don’t need this kind of vitriol coming from a world leader.

    • http://www.facebook.com/chris.whitesell.946 Chris Whitesell

      In focus groups it has been shown that non-partisans want bipartisan cooperation. Romney scored really well when he made his comments about Obamacare being passed without any republican support and how he worked with Dems in Mass to pass meaningful legislation. People know BHO has failed to unite and if he goes negative it will cost him, I think it already is as it hasn’t hurt repub voter enthusiasm while Dems is way down! If you care at all for the future of this country then just vote and put president downtrodden out of office!

      • kong1967

        “…just vote and put president downtrodden out of office!” — Chris Whitesell

        Yes I can do that, lol.

        Thanks for the input, and I think you’re right. I also believe that’s why Republicans always nominate a moderate. There are a lot of people that are more towards the middle that want a moderate candidate. That’s my guess, anyway.

  • Sober_Thinking

    This is positive.

    Watch the mud REALLY come out now.

  • Siobhan7

    I still don’t understand the math in these polls. If Romney is up big with the independents, and assuming that 90% of dems will vote for Obama and 90% reps will vote for Romney, how is he behind? Are they still over-sampling dems?

  • http://navalwarfare.blogspot.com/ Libertyship46

    Republicans are not just “extremely likely” to vote, they can’t WAIT to vote. I think they’re going to camp out at the voting booths the night before the election. Republicans are not only motivated, they’re angry and extremely anxious to prove a point, that Obama really needs to be thrown out of office. Conservatives are even more motivated to vote, if that’s even possible. I don’t think you could tie people down and stop them from voting in this election. Americans now know that this is the only thing Washington understands, throwing people out of office. And on November 6, the majority of Americans are going to prove that point to Obama and send him home to Chicago.

  • p m

    Guess it’s time to change my forecast from Romney by 15+ to Romney by 15+ MINIMUM!

  • Nukeman60

    Okay, I love this ‘extremely likely’ category. If an Obama backer got a call and was asked, “Are you extremely likey to vote, mostly likely to vote, kind of likely to vote, or not very likely to vote”, what do you think they would say? How can anyone tell if anybody is super duper, high intensity, really, really likely to vote?

    I know one thing’s for sure. I am 100% likely to vote and everybody I know is 95% likely to vote (for no other reason than because they don’t want to hear from me afterwards).

    Just like a weatherman being 96% right 4% of the time, these numbers are starting to drive even a number-cruncher like me crazy. I predict with a 95% accuracy that we will have another poll tomorrow declaring somebody is voting for somebody else and it will be 100% different than other polls from yesterday.

  • Galatiansch2vs20

    New Pew poll- Romney ahead by four points & CBS reported outside the margin of error.

    http://nation.foxnews.com/pew-poll/2012/10/08/pew-poll-romney-49-obama-45?intcmp=fly

  • http://www.facebook.com/chris.whitesell.946 Chris Whitesell

    It is an absolute joke that the media and left assumed this would not be an Obama refferendum after Romney picked Ryan and made it an issues ellection…..this shows what total clowns they are. I was excited by the Ryan pick but I would be voting against Obama no matter what. He is rubbish, worst president in my lifetime and most partisan as well.

  • Pete2099

    I believe this the same as I believe Romney gives a d… about U.S. and it’s citizens.

    From the mouth of Romney himself , he has said he did not give a …. about over half of U.S. citizens while lying his … off about them paying NO taxes and living off others.

    When it is just the opposite. Corporations have made their wealth from U.S. workers and not to make and extra buck they fired them and sent U.S. jobs and investments
    overseas.

    Corporate welfare costs us 3+ times more than welfare for the poor.
    http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&
    address=389×9297759

    What The Top U.S. Companies Pay In Taxes
    http://www.forbes.com/2010/04/01/ge-exxon-walmart-business-washington-corporate-taxes_2.html

    Even the USDA Hosts Criticism of $300 bln Farm Bill
    The nearly $300 billion 2008 Farm Bill, which will probably survive a presidential veto
    http://www.nolanchart.com/article3834.html
    ********************************

    Corporate Welfare at its Worst
    http://www.thenation.com/article/corporate-welfare-its-worst
    The United States has a $6 trillion national debt, a growing deficit and is borrowing money from the Social Security Trust Fund in order to fund government services.We can no longer afford to provide more than $125 billion every year in corporate welfare–tax breaks, subsidies and other wasteful spending–that goes to some of the largest, most profitable corporations in America.
    ****************************

    US provides 3 billion in subsidies for Exxon-mobil project in Papua New Guinea
    http://news.mongabay.com/2009/1210-hance_pnglng.html
    *****************************

    http://thinkprogress.org/2010/10/25/raese-government-contracts/
    Despite Saying Government Intervention Puts Industry In A ‘Coma,’ Raese’s Biz Takes Millions In Taxpayer Funds
    *****************************

    Corporate welfare costs us 3+ times more than welfare for the poor.
    http://www.eriposte.com/economy/tax/corporate_welfare.htm
    ****************************

    Conservatives just killed 240,000 jobs
    http://blogs.alternet.org/speakeasy/2010/1

  • Malkiel_kol_hakavod_la_el

    This number for Barack Hussein Obama should be around 25% “extremely likely” but in our current America with so may brain dead individuals its where it is… Sad I say… But I for one can not wait to see Barack Hussein Obama on his way out of Washington for good.. I shall give him my good bye wave with my middle finger fully extended…..

  • bobemakk

    Romney MUST and WILL win. Obamas own are trashing his name. He can’t even speak without teleprompters. I hope at the VP debate Ryan trashes Biden, and I know he will, he is brilliant compared to the “gaffe king,” Joe Biden.