Trump sycophants are saying the “Trump can’t beat Hillary” narrative is dead and buried with a recent number of polls that show him narrowly beating Hillary.
Here’s the RCP average:
Trump now leads Clinton in the RCP average for the first time. pic.twitter.com/VQGKxi2tKn
— Noah Rothman (@NoahCRothman) May 22, 2016
But there’s a catch. Every nominee sees a bump in the polls after winning the nomination. Winning is popular and people naturally gravitate towards it.
President Romney. May 2012 Polls:
■CBSNEWS: Romney +3
■GALLUP: Romney +3
■Mason Dixon: Romney +3
■Rasmussen: Romney +1
■WashTimes: Romney +1— Jeff Gauvin (@JeffersonObama) May 22, 2016
Around this same time in 2012, Romney and Obama traded lead changes and the latter didn't have a primary opponent. pic.twitter.com/EJardI0GNm
— Gideon Resnick (@GideonResnick) May 22, 2016
Given how badly Trump is doing with women and Hispanics, even if he’s doing better against Hillary in May, historically it means he still loses in November. Still, it’s better news for Trump, obviously than how he was doing before. But he needs to keep a momentum going and make inroads into Hillary’s stranglehold on women and minorities. That’s just a demographic fact, it’s not a preference for those two groups. Can he do it without moderating his tone or will we be forced to kneel before Hillary? Excuse me I need a stiff drink now.