According to the Wall Street Journal, a coup against Trump at the convention could be within reach for anti-Trump forces.
They say it’s a long shot overall, but that the initial hurdle of having enough votes to bring the issue to the floor for a vote by all delegates is very possible:
WSJ – The anti-Trump camp needs the backing of 28, or one-quarter, of the 112 Convention Rules Committee members, in order to place the issue before the full convention. A Wall Street Journal survey suggests it could be close.
In interviews, 20 members said they are willing to consider allowing delegates to be unbound, while 59 support Mr. Trump. The other 33 panelists couldn’t be reached or did not respond to repeated messages.
Others counting votes have their own tallies. Internal surveys of the Rules Committee conducted by RNC member Randy Evans of Georgia, who is whipping votes trying to help Mr. Trump fend off the insurrection, found at least 18 committee members open to voting to unbind. The Trump campaign’s count shows about 15 leaning toward the so-called conscience clause, according to people familiar with the campaign.
Kendal Unruh, a Colorado schoolteacher on the committee leading part of the anti-Trump movement, said she has private commitments from more than 30 committee members, but that many aren’t willing to admit so publicly.
All involved in counting votes say those numbers fluctuate on a day-to-day basis. If the provision gets the necessary committee votes when the panel meets beginning next Wednesday, it would place the issue before the full convention, where it would need 1,237 votes—half the delegates—to pass.
Though a majority of the convention delegates are bound to support Mr. Trump, Mr. Evans’s count shows just about 890 delegates are personally loyal to the New Yorker. Another 680 oppose Mr. Trump. That leaves 900 delegates who are presumed to be “in play,” he said. The stop-Trump forces would have to take nearly two-thirds of them to block his nomination.
Important: the *Trump* whip count has 680 opposed & 900+ in play!! Still possible to #dumptrump if there is the will https://t.co/lkVFjqvlN1
— Tim Miller (@Timodc) July 6, 2016
Wow. Looks like this could actually be in reach. I wouldn’t get your hopes up too high yet, but truthfully you never know this year what could happen.
Get out the popcorn folks, this RNC convention might just be a must see convention!