It does appear the tides are shifting as we get closer to the election. A new CNN/ORC poll has Trump leading Hillary among likely voters by 2 points:
New CNN/ORC poll: 9 weeks out, a near even race between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton https://t.co/5vSniWL8z7 https://t.co/oQaiqFwTbS
— CNN Newsroom (@CNNnewsroom) September 6, 2016
Trump is losing among registered voters but leading among likely voters. And this isn’t just Trump v. Hillary, It’s all four main candidates:
Trump 45, Clinton 43, Johnson 7, Stein 2
I don’t think Trump is actually leading at this point, but I do think the trends are telling us that the race is tightening.
You can read more about the poll here.