It was believed over a month ago that Trump was getting more competitive in states like Pennsylvania. Well, that doesn’t appear to be the case now:
New @MonmouthPoll Pennsylvania survey:
Clinton 50
Trump 40
Johnson 5
Stein 2Toomey 46
McGinty 46https://t.co/tQjsyRfg4H— Steven Shepard (@POLITICO_Steve) October 4, 2016
Oy: Pennsylvania *white voters* are now 46% Clinton, 45% Trump.
A 10-point swing from August, driven by white women. pic.twitter.com/3qWRXhX2YR
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) October 4, 2016
For those keeping track at home, three PA polls in past 24 hours… Clinton +4, +9, and +10. Doesn't look good for Trump.
— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 4, 2016
Even in this RCP list of recent Pennsylvania polling, there’s a marked difference between the polling in the last week and the previous polls:
If these trends continue, Pennsylvania is likely gone this late in the game. And if Trump loses Florida like this, which is very close, it’s over.
There are two more debates so he still has a chance. But if he doesn’t demolish her in both, and I suspect he won’t, then he’s not going to be able to effect enough change to get out of this whole.