Sam Wang publicly said that Hillary was certain to win the election according to the polls, and this morning he fulfilled his promise by chomping down on some crickets:
On @CNN with @smerconish at around 9:20am to talk about what happened this week, and why predictions went wrong.
— Sam Wang (@SamWangPhD) November 12, 2016
“It’s a little nutty”: Poll expert @SamWangPhD eats a bug live on air after being wrong about Trump win. https://t.co/Eur6gkErFI
— CNN (@CNN) November 12, 2016
This was his final prediction on election day before the results rolled in:
Final PEC mode projection:
Clinton 323 EV, Trump 215 EV, popular vote +4%.
Senate: 51 D/I seats, 49 R.
House: R.https://t.co/T8YfcFlUw4— Sam Wang (@SamWangPhD) November 8, 2016
That didn’t work out so well:
OK, I sense that maybe I should be researching bug recipes.
Luckily there are no sore winners on Twitter!
— Sam Wang (@SamWangPhD) November 9, 2016
Wang admitted that he was wrong, but defended the veracity of the polling since the swing between prediction and reality landed within the error margin.