According to the latest reports, Kelly C. Tshibaka has a great chance to beat RINO Senator Lisa Murkowski in November and is projected to do so by the liberal polling group FiveThirtyEight.
Via Fox News:
Incumbent Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski is in danger of losing the seat she has held for two decades to a challenger from her own party backed by former President Trump.
A Republican has roughly a 99% chance to win next month’s Alaska senate election, with Republican challenger Kelly C. Tshibaka considered mostly likely to emerge with the victory at 53%, according to election forecaster FiveThirtyEight.
Tshibaka, a Trump-backed Republican challenger who previously served as a commissioner of the Alaska Department of Administration, is currently locked in a tight battle with Murkowski after the incumbent senator generated controversy by supporting the impeachment of former President Trump.
Alaska’s 2022 race is unique thanks to a 2020 ballot measure in which voters approved ranked-choice voting in the state’s elections, meaning both Tshibaka and Murkowski will appear on the ballot despite being members of the same party. The two emerged as the top two candidates in the state’s nonpartisan blanket primary in August, and will face off with Democratic candidate Patricia Chesbro in November’s general election.
I went over to FiveThirtyEight to see what more they had to say about this, and I found this blurb on their site:
Republican Kelly C. Tshibaka has the best chance in our simulations, winning 53 in 100 times.
I just hope their simulations are accurate because I truly want to believe Tshibaka will win this. It’s long past time for Murkowski to be GONE.