Yale researchers were very disappointed when they tried to dispel conservative estimates of how many illegal immigrants are in the United States.
They found an average number nearly twice as high as the formerly accepted statistic.
A new Yale study, using mathematical modeling on a range of demographic and immigration operations data, suggests that the population of undocumented immigrants in the United States may be more than 22 million—more than twice what was previously believed. https://t.co/XXcMMWHqYM— Yale Insights (@YaleInsights) September 21, 2018
Using mathematical modeling on a range of demographic and immigration operations data, the researchers estimate there are 22.1 million undocumented immigrants in the United States. Even using parameters intentionally aimed at producing an extremely conservative estimate, they found a population of 16.7 million undocumented immigrants.
They were seriously trying to find a lower number!! LOL!!
The results, published in PLOS ONE, surprised the authors themselves. They started with the extremely conservative model and expected the results to be well below 11.3 million.
“Our original idea was just to do a sanity check on the existing number,” says Edward Kaplan, the William N. and Marie A. Beach Professor of Operations Research at the Yale School of Management. “Instead of a number which was smaller, we got a number that was 50% higher. That caused us to scratch our heads.”
Jonathan Feinstein, the John G. Searle Professor of Economics and Management at Yale SOM, adds, “There’s a number that everybody quotes, but when you actually dig down and say, ‘What is it based on?’ You find it’s based on one very specific survey and possibly an approach that has some difficulties. So we went in and just took a very different approach.”
The actual methodology they used is fascinating, but frankly, 11 million or 22 million, something needs to be done. That is an enormous number either way and Trump seemed to be the only candidate who took it seriously. We can still treat people humanely and with compassion, and with due process rights, but this is a problem that Americans just shouldn’t have to deal with.