JUST IN: Five out of six pollsters show Trump winning the election right now, including Nate Silver…

by The Right Scoop

Five out of six pollsters or organizations are predicting that Trump will win the election before tonight’s big debate showdown, including Nate Silver.

Here’s the Interactive Polls:

🇺🇲 Presidential Election Forecast (6/27)

@TheEconomist
(Electoral College)

🟥 Trump: 303 🏆
🟦 Biden: 235

Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 71%
🟦 Biden: 29%
——
@NateSilver538
(Electoral College)

🟥 Trump: 287 🏆
🟦 Biden: 250

Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 66%
🟦 Biden: 34%
——
@jhkersting
Forecast (Electoral College)

🟥 Trump: 291 🏆
🟦 Biden: 247

Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 64%
🟦 Biden: 36%
——
@DecisionDeskHQ
(Electoral College)

🟥 Trump: 280 🏆
🟦 Biden: 258

Chance of winning
🟥 Trump: 56%
🟦 Biden: 42%
——
@FiveThirtyEight
(Electoral College)

🟦 Biden: 270 🏆
🟥 Trump: 268

Chance of winning
🟦 Biden: 50%
🟥 Trump: 50%
——
@Polymarket
(chance of winning)

🟥 Trump: 60%
🟦 Biden: 34%

Joe Concha adds: “Nate Silver’s 538 forecast also had Trump winning the popular vote. If that happens, it would mark the first time a Republican has won the popular vote since 2004.”

Some are saying tonight’s debate is one of the few events that could have a big effect on the presidential race. Or nothing could change.

I will have a debate thread up tonight for you to weigh in on the debate while it’s happening.


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