FIRST: Let’s note that tonight’s latest vote tally out of Maricopa County did NOT include any Box 3 votes.
SECOND: The race has narrowed again in Arizona after the latest from Maricopa broke for Kari Lake over Katie Hobbs, with some blue strongholds among the latest numbers and several red strongholds to go.
Here’s a few tweets with data.
NEW MARICOPA COUNTY VOTES:#AZGOV
Hobbs +40796 —- 48.23%
Lake + 43797 —- 51.77%
Total: 84593Batch narrows lead for Hobbs by 3001 votes
— Alexis Dominguez (@alexisdomm) November 13, 2022
85,656 late early ballots were counted in Maricopa today. They were spread out all over the county, but many this time did come from GOP strongholds in north loop 101 and the southeast valley. pic.twitter.com/0FBeO3ReCu
— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 13, 2022
The Maricopa batch is 85k@karilake 51.8%@katiehobbs 48.2%
— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 13, 2022
Maricopa County has tabulated 85,656 ballots
Est. 194,885 remain (88% complete)Batch breakdown
Governor@KariLake 51.8@katiehobbs 48.2Senate@bgmasters 49.1@CaptMarkKelly 49.2
AZSOS@RealMarkFinchem 49.4@Adrian_Fontes 50.6
AZAG@AbrahamHamadeh 52.4@krismayes 47.6
— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 13, 2022
DDHQ Race Update (est. 93% in): AZ Governor
Katie Hobbs (D): 1,156,158
(50.76%)
Kari Lake (R): 1,121,416
(49.24%)Follow more results here: https://t.co/NqghQqwmbL
— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 13, 2022
NEW DROP: I received a heads up just before the drop that this was going to be the LAST ugly drop from Maricopa (I know we've said this before and we're just as exhausted by it). To sum it up, "we won the ugly" so this is good news:
Kari Lake:
51.8%
Katie Hobbs:
48.2%— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) November 13, 2022
Here’s the CNN estimate, for what that’s worth.

Like we noted above:
There were no box 3 ballots in this latest tabulation.
— The AZ – abc15 – Data Guru (@Garrett_Archer) November 13, 2022
But confidence remains high, assuming everything is kosher.
Hearing from team @KariLake that they feel good about the latest Maricopa drop — winning roughly 52-48. They expected this drop to be the most Democratic friendly left — believing bigger GOP drops still to come.
Still, it’s all gonna come down to the wire.
— Robert Sherman (@RobertShermanTV) November 13, 2022
.@KariLake: "We’re going to win this. Everybody in this state knows we’re going to win it. I was running against a basement candidate who didn’t even campaign, didn’t debate, and the people didn’t vote for her.”https://t.co/aBTdixL0Ve
— Kari Lake War Room (@KariLakeWarRoom) November 13, 2022
THIS IS A DEVELOPING STORY AND MAY BE UPDATED.