There’s a lot of polling going on in the aftermath of the 2020 Democratic debates last week and they are all singing a similar tune that shows a surge for Harris.
But this new poll from Quinnipiac shows Biden and Harris withing two points of each other, well within the margin of error:
NEW @QuinnipiacPoll of the Dem primary, another big jump for @KamalaHarris
Biden: 22%
Harris: 20%
Warren: 14%
Sanders: 13%
Buttigieg: 4%
Booker: 3%
O’Rourke: 1%
Klobuchar: 1%
Castro: 1%
Gabbard: 1%
Yang: 1%https://t.co/ksrj1iJOxw— Johnny Verhovek (@JTHVerhovek) July 2, 2019
In a similar poll by Quinnipiac that was release on June 11, the results were quite a bit different: “Biden at 30 percent, Sanders getting 19 percent, Warren with 15 percent, Buttigieg at 8 percent, and Harris with 7 percent.” That’s quite a surge for Harris.
Here’s the lowdown on the poll in case you are curious:
From June 28 – July 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 554 Democrats and voters leaning Democratic nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 5 percentage points, including the design effect.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.
On the big question of which candidate has the best chance to beat Trump, there’s still only one candidate getting most of the support:
Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think – has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election?
Biden: 42%
Harris: 14%
Sanders: 13%
Warren: 9%
Booker: 1%
Gabbard: 1%
Buttigieg: 1%— Johnny Verhovek (@JTHVerhovek) July 2, 2019
And in terms of who won the debates last week, there’s also only one candidate getting the majority of support:
Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best job in the recent debates? (Among debate watchers)
Harris: 47%
Warren: 17%
Biden: 6%
Sanders: 5%
Castro: 3%
Buttigieg: 3%
O’Rourke: 1%
Booker: 1%
Klobuchar: 1%
Williamson: 1%— Johnny Verhovek (@JTHVerhovek) July 2, 2019
Well that explains a lot. One candidate can win a debate and the other can beat Trump, and those are your two leaders right now in the Democratic race. Can’t wait for the next debates!