New election poll shows who’s leading in potential 2024 GOP Primary

There’s a new poll out today on the potential 2024 GOP Primary lineup, revealing who the front runner would be with and without Trump.

THE HILL – Former President Trump dominates the field of potential contenders for the 2024 Republican presidential nod, but Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is an early favorite for the nomination in the event that Trump doesn’t run again, according to a new Harvard CAPS/Harris poll shared exclusively with The Hill.

In a hypothetical eight-person GOP presidential primary, Trump holds a clear edge, garnering 57 percent support among Republican voters. DeSantis and former Vice President Mike Pence are nearly deadlocked at 12 percent and 11 percent, respectively. No other would-be candidate tested in the poll registers double-digit support.

What if Trump doesn’t run?


Should Trump forgo another campaign for the White House, however, DeSantis would supplant him as the frontrunner. The Florida governor scores 30 percent support in a field that doesn’t include Trump, while Pence takes second place at 24 percent.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) gets 14 percent support in such a scenario, according to the survey.

The down low…

The survey of 1,815 registered voters was conducted from Jan. 19-20. It is a collaboration of the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and the Harris Poll. It was an online sample drawn from the Harris Panel and weighted to reflect known demographics.

I’m honestly surprised that DeSantis was neck and neck with Pence if Trump were to run. That doesn’t sound right to me. But it is a poll of ‘registered voters’ and we’re so far out from 2024 that everybody knows that it’s essentially meaningless.

But it is interesting to see what happens with and without Trump in the mix.


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