We’ve finally gotten some polling on the Alabama Senate Republican primary race and it’s a dead heat between Jeff Sessions and Tommy Tuberville:
— Scott Wong (@scottwongDC) February 12, 2020
Here’s more from Alabama Daily News:
With less than three weeks to go until the primary election on March 3, a new Alabama Daily News poll shows a tight race among Republican contenders for the U.S. Senate.
According to the survey of likely Republican voters, if the election were held today, 31% would vote for former U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions, 29% would choose former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville and 17% would choose Congressman Bradley Byrne.
Five percent said they would choose former Alabama Chief Justice Roy Moore, and no other candidate registered more than 1%. Sixteen percent of voters said they were undecided.
With such a tight race, a runoff race will likely be needed to determine the winner:
Under Alabama law, if no candidate earns more than 50% of the vote in a primary election, the contest goes to a runoff between the candidates with the top two vote totals. Such an event is possible, if not likely, given the fractured state of the race.
Asked which candidate they would prefer in a runoff between Sessions and Tuberville, 49% of voters chose Sessions while 42% chose Tuberville. Asked which candidate they would prefer in a runoff between Sessions and Byrne, 48% of voters chose Sessions while 35% chose Byrne.
Many thought Sessions would run away with this primary race, but clearly that’s not the case. In fact the margin of error is ±4%, which means Sessions and Tuberville are essentially tied.
The good news is that Sessions, Tuberville, and Byrne are polling very well against the Democrat incumbent Doug Jones.