At this time back in 2020, Joe Biden had a substantial lead on then President Trump for the presidential elections.
But now it’s nearly just the opposite, with Trump having a substantial lead on Biden:
Harvard-Harris: If the presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?
Feb 2020:
🟦 Biden 55% (+10)
🟥 Trump 45%Feb 2024:
🟥 Trump 53% (+6)
🟦 Biden 47%
—
Among IndependentsFeb 2020:
🟦 Biden 57% (+14)
🟥 Trump 43%Feb 2024:
🟥 Trump 52% (+4)
🟦 Biden 48% pic.twitter.com/Y0BBRi6c5E— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) February 27, 2024
Biden losing independents in an -18 point swing is not good for him. I know Trump is only +4 ahead with them, but this is really a big deal considering what it was four years ago.
The overall numbers are also great, with Biden losing 16 points to Trump. This is another reason why Biden is so desperate to change the narrative from his dementia.