The sole Democratic vote for Kavanaugh may not be enough to keep Joe Manchin in office tomorrow night, as this race has just been put into ‘toss-up’ status by RCP:
FREE BEACON – Democratic incumbent senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia is in the fight of his political life, as his race against Republican Patrick Morrisey was changed to “toss up” on the eve of the election.
Manchin added a dozen events leading up to Tuesday, making stops across the state from Beckley to Marlinton to Bridgeport, before concluding with a “Take Me Home” motorcycle ride at his campaign headquarters in Charleston.
RealClearPolitics changed the Senate race on Monday from “lean Democratic” to “toss up” in response to gains made by Morrisey in the polls. Manchin now has just a 5-point advantage over Morrisey going into Election Day, according to the website’s average.
A poll last week had Morrisey, the state’s attorney general, up two points. Disaffected Democrats flocked to see President Trump at a rally in Huntington on Friday, where the president urged West Virginians, who voted for him by more than 40 points in 2016, to vote for Morrisey.
Manchin called Tuesday’s midterms the “most important election we’ve ever voted in” and did not sound certain of victory during a pig roast hosted by Houn’ Dog’s Barn and Grill in Logan, W. Va. on Saturday.
The effective retail politician greeted every supporter in and outside the event, which was attended by several hundreds.
“It’s gonna be close,” said one supporter on the election.
“It’s tight,” a Manchin volunteer agreed.
Welp…
According to RCP, these are the races that are now considered toss-ups in the Senate:
AZ: Open (R)
FL: Nelson (D)
IN: Donnelly (D)
MO: McCaskill (D)
MT: Tester (D)
NV: Heller (R)
WV: Manchin (D)
If Democrats win all of these races and the likely/leans races go according to plan, the Senate will be deadlocked at 50/50 and Mike Pence will have to live in the Senate for the next 2 years.
But of course I don’t think that’s going to happen. But there could be some upsets in the ‘leans’ category for both parties and that could make for a tumultuous night. Hopefully all the upsets go the Republican way, but there’s just not a lot of guarantees out there right now.