The unemployment rate has dropped another point to 3.8%, which is the lowest it’s been since 1969:
WSJ – The unemployment rate fell to an 18-year low in May and employers steadily added jobs, signs of enduring strength for the labor market.
U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 223,000 in May, the Labor Department said Friday. The unemployment rate ticked down to 3.8%, matching April 2000 as the lowest reading since 1969.
Wages in May improved modestly, growing 2.7% from a year earlier.
Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had expected 190,000 new jobs and a 3.9% unemployment rate.
Revised figures show employers added 159,000 jobs in April and 155,000 in March, a net upward revision of 15,000. Through the first five months of the year, employers have added an average of 207,000 workers to payrolls, outpacing 2017’s average monthly growth of 182,000. That runs counter to economists’ expectation for hiring to broadly ease as the labor market tightens.
U.S. employers have added to payrolls for 92 straight months, extending the longest continuous jobs expansion on record.
A tighter labor market should also produce better wage growth, but gains have remained in check, thought they improved somewhat last month.
But this seems to be what everyone wants to talk about:
Looking forward to seeing the employment numbers at 8:30 this morning.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 1, 2018
The tweet seems harmless enough. Why are people complaining about this?
About an hour ahead of the release, President Trump hinted at today's strong jobs report. Though the president has access to the report before release, talking about it in advance is typically avoided because it could influence financial markets. https://t.co/V8el73oucs https://t.co/fUXI41mvPd
— NPR (@NPR) June 1, 2018
Another norm-breaking tweet: Trump sending a signal to the markets about the jobs numbers an hour before they are made public. https://t.co/urENVUo2G5
— Peter Alexander (@PeterAlexander) June 1, 2018
Kind of feel like the president shouldn't be talking at all about the job's report before it comes out. He has access to the number the evening before. I don't know if he's actually seen it. Tweet suggests not, but markets have to wonder. https://t.co/kEJJodvpzh
— Steve Liesman (@steveliesman) June 1, 2018
From a 1985 directive from the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs: "employees of the Executive Branch shall not comment
— Steve Liesman (@steveliesman) June 1, 2018
publicly on the data until at least one hour after the official release time."
Also says: The agency will provide prerelease information to the Pres."
Sarah Huckabee Sanders confirms to @CNBC's @EamonJavers that the president had the jobs number before he tweeted "looking foward to seeing" the jobs number. Why would he be "looking forward to seeing" a number he already knew?
— Steve Liesman (@steveliesman) June 1, 2018
Market Watch also included this in their reporting of the good unemployment news:
In an unusual and controversial move, President Trump foreshadowed the strong employment report in an early-morning tweet in which he said he looked forward to the May jobs figures. Investors took that to mean they should expect a good report.
This is...unusual. Trump tweeted about jobs day at 7:21am EST, suggesting he knew the numbers would be surprisingly good. https://t.co/k35UPSEPI6 That's how the market took it anyway, with U.S. yields taking a leg higher right after. Raises a lot of questions. pic.twitter.com/TcN9oLNYqU
— Lisa Abramowicz (@lisaabramowicz1) June 1, 2018
One business journalist even suggests this is insider trading!
Assuming he has seen the NFPs, is this not insider trading to hint strongly that they will be good? https://t.co/guQAqYLYt1
— Joe Lynam (@JoeBLynam) June 1, 2018
C’mon. That seems a bit far-fetched dontcha think?
Look maybe Trump shouldn’t be tweeting about the jobs report at all prior to it being officially released, but his tweet seemed pretty benign to me. Suggesting he’s looking forward to the jobs report is a far cry different than actually commenting on it.