A new Quinnipiac poll is out today and Trump is still losing in three major states, including Florida:
Quinnipiac polls
FL
Clinton 46
Trump 41NC
Clinton 46
Trump 43OH
Trump 47
Clinton 42PA
Clinton 45
Trump 41https://t.co/hC3HdYkYOd— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) October 3, 2016
Today's battleground polls:
CO: Clinton +11
FL: Clinton +5
NC: Clinton +3
NC: Clinton +1
OH: Trump +5
PA: Clinton +4— Mark Murray (@mmurraypolitics) October 3, 2016
It seems the most crucial of these states is Florida, according to FiveThirtyEight:
Let’s say, for example, that on Election Day, Clinton underperforms with white voters without college degrees even more so than she is doing now. Her support would collapse in the Midwest, and her troubles in Maine would likely bleed over into New Hampshire. But Florida is more diverse, with one of the largest groups of Latino voters of any battleground state and a sizable African-American population. So, in this scenario, the nonwhite vote in Florida might allow Clinton to hold onto the state even if she were to lose Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio and Wisconsin.
And that’s a winning map:
I suspect that may be what the map looks like on November 8th when Trump loses Florida and then the entire election.
Trump better figure out to get all his secret Trumpers to vote for him or else he’s really going to regret it.